Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Reading
27.5%
Draw
51.3%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Reading
vs
1.54
Millwall
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.6%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).