Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Carlisle
29.8%
Draw
40.2%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Carlisle
vs
1.29
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).