Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Crotone
28.8%
Draw
28.3%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Crotone
vs
1.12
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).