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01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.8%
Swansea
29.0%
Draw
23.3%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Swansea

vs
0.91

West Brom

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).