Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Valladolid
23.6%
Draw
44.3%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Valladolid
vs
1.66
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).