Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.6%
Arsenal
15.6%
Draw
4.8%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Arsenal
vs
0.50
Wolves
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.7%
3-0
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
4-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
2.0%
5-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).