Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Sheffield United
29.3%
Draw
30.4%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Sheffield United
vs
1.12
Millwall
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).