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22 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
West Brom
30.1%
Draw
34.8%
Bristol City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

West Brom

vs
1.18

Bristol City

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).