Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Lugo
28.5%
Draw
59.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Lugo
vs
1.32
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS25.4%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
23.1%
0-0
17.3%
0-2
15.2%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
0-4
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
2-0
1.6%
2-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).