Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Coventry
22.4%
Draw
20.9%
Dudley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Coventry
vs
0.99
Dudley Town
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).