Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Ipswich
17.2%
Draw
7.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Ipswich
vs
0.65
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).