Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Albacete
25.1%
Draw
21.1%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Albacete
vs
0.88
Eldense
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).