Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Almeria
21.8%
Draw
24.6%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Almeria
vs
1.26
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).