Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Fleetwood Town
24.2%
Draw
23.8%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.98
Barrow
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).