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18 Oct 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Sunderland
34.9%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Sunderland

vs
0.71

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS36.2%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.6%
1-0
16.2%
1-1
14.5%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).