Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
Exeter
22.0%
Draw
23.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Exeter
vs
1.04
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).