Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Albacete
26.2%
Draw
36.9%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Albacete
vs
1.29
Malaga
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).