Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Maidenhead
27.5%
Draw
33.6%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Maidenhead
vs
1.32
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).