Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Oxford
30.4%
Draw
43.5%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Oxford
vs
1.28
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).