Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Tottenham
27.6%
Draw
44.0%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Tottenham
vs
1.62
Brighton
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).