Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.9%
Monza
19.2%
Draw
10.0%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Monza
vs
0.75
Empoli
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).