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31 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Dynamo Makhachkala
28.5%
Draw
55.2%
Dinamo Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Dynamo Makhachkala

vs
1.53

Dinamo Moskva

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).