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05 May 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.8%
Venezia
13.0%
Draw
6.1%
FeralpiSalo

Expected Goals (xG)

2.94

Venezia

vs
0.75

FeralpiSalo

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.8%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).