Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Augsburg
25.2%
Draw
48.4%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Augsburg
vs
1.73
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).