Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Livingston
24.4%
Draw
59.1%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Livingston
vs
1.78
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).