Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Hartlepool
33.3%
Draw
18.9%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Hartlepool
vs
0.63
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
17.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).