Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Watford
29.5%
Draw
25.1%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Watford
vs
0.96
West Brom
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).