Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Lille
22.9%
Draw
34.6%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Lille
vs
1.42
Rennes
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).