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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.1%
Reading
16.7%
Draw
70.2%
Didcot Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Reading

vs
2.41

Didcot Town

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).