Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Mantova
27.7%
Draw
20.8%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Mantova
vs
0.92
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).