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19 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Angers
35.8%
Draw
26.5%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Angers

vs
0.63

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS25.6%
Over 0.577.4%
Over 1.542.0%
Over 2.518.0%
Over 3.56.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.6%
1-0
19.9%
0-1
15.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
3-0
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
0-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).