Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Virtus Entella
32.2%
Draw
31.9%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Virtus Entella
vs
1.04
Benevento
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).