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15 Sept 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
Zaragoza
30.0%
Draw
37.2%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Zaragoza

vs
1.07

Albacete

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).