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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.0%
AFC Wulfrunians
9.5%
Draw
15.6%
Atherstone Town

Expected Goals (xG)

6.28

AFC Wulfrunians

vs
3.55

Atherstone Town

Markets

BTTS96.9%
Over 0.5100.0%
Over 1.599.9%
Over 2.599.7%
Over 3.598.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

5-3
3.5%
5-4
3.1%
5-2
2.9%
4-3
2.8%
4-4
2.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-5
2.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-5
1.7%
5-1
1.7%
3-4
1.6%
3-2
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).