Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Holstein Kiel
24.8%
Draw
28.6%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.39
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).