Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Cittadella
32.5%
Draw
28.4%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cittadella
vs
0.94
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).