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AHT: 11CSV

11 Nov 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Dag and Red
27.4%
Draw
36.3%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Dag and Red

vs
1.39

Solihull

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).