Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Carlisle
20.3%
Draw
14.5%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Carlisle
vs
0.76
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).