Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Lech Poznań
23.6%
Draw
21.1%
Legia Warszawa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Lech Poznań
vs
1.15
Legia Warszawa
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).