Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Almeria
21.6%
Draw
20.6%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Almeria
vs
1.07
Albacete
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).