Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Dunkerque
26.6%
Draw
29.3%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Dunkerque
vs
0.95
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).