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21 Jan 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
Southend
23.9%
Draw
14.0%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Southend

vs
0.76

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).