Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Sutton
27.0%
Draw
24.1%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sutton
vs
1.05
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).