Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Real Madrid
22.3%
Draw
9.6%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Real Madrid
vs
0.51
Getafe
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
10.5%
3-0
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).