Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Guingamp
19.9%
Draw
58.8%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Guingamp
vs
1.98
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).