Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Portsmouth
30.0%
Draw
25.5%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Portsmouth
vs
0.93
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).