Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Valladolid
25.7%
Draw
31.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Valladolid
vs
1.21
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).