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09 Dec 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
West Ham
29.7%
Draw
26.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

West Ham

vs
1.10

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).