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AHT: 01CSV

21 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
La Coruna
26.1%
Draw
25.0%
Extremadura UD

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

La Coruna

vs
0.97

Extremadura UD

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).