Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Asteras Tripolis
26.9%
Draw
15.9%
Lamia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Asteras Tripolis
vs
0.73
Lamia
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).